Matthew Rosewarne on 19 Jan 2008 11:52:14 -0800 |
On Saturday 19 January 2008, W. Chris Shank wrote: > you are right - consumer will get the brand-name probably and take > home Vista and it won't work well. then they tell their friends and > the friends ask about alternatives. they hear about mac, go to the > apple store and are either turn-on by the crazy hipness and cool > stuff, can afford it and buy - or they are turned off by it and go get > a PC. there is no Linux store where they can go see Linux in action, > play with it, and have someone show them the cool features. Don't forget the common scenario: Customer takes it to kid-nextdoor/local computer shop and says "My new computer doesn't work!!!" Chances are these people will wipe the thing and install a (questionably legal) copy of XP on it. > IT departments are avoiding Vista because of the cost, complexity, and > business continuity risks of upgrading. They are waiting until every > vendor for every application they have says they support Vista and the > hardware makers do the same. Only then will Vista get into businesses > in a serious way. The opportunity for Linux (or Apple) lies in the > time between when XP is no longer available and when their apps can > run on Vista. This is the critical time. If MS kills XP too soon, the > window will be large enough that businesses could seriously consider > Linux, even as a transitional step while waiting for Vista > compatibility, only because they have the need for new PCs (ie - new > hires, dead PCs, etc). If MS allows desktop Linux to get a foot in the > door they may be sorry as businesses may realize that Linux is pretty > good. There's also a good opportunity here for Wine. If Wine can run some of the homebrew apps whose source has been lost to the mists of time, then that would be a strong showing for FOSS. Attachment:
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